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Research & Analysis

Debt Ceiling And Stocks: Why The Media Is Deceiving You

October 18, 2013
I was taking a break from the meanderings of the S&P 500 (SPY) and the US Treasury bond market (TLT) yesterday when I came across an interesting YouTube video in which Stephen A. Smith, a well-known sportscaster and insightful social commentator, related how he had been thoroughly convinced by the dominant mass media coverage that George Zimmerman was guilty of the murder of Trayvon Martin. When he learned through the news media that Zimmerman had, in fact, been acquitted by a jury, Smith says he was shocked, hurt and outraged.
Misperceptions About Hayek: A Response To Soros

Misperceptions About Hayek: A Response To Soros

September 25, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary Hayek is famous, but he is generally misunderstood. His enormous body of interdisciplinary work is highly regarded by experts in diverse... Read More...

Bubble Stage Of This Bull Market May Be Nigh

Bubble Stage Of This Bull Market May Be Nigh

September 19, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary We are not a in a bubble yet, but conditions for the formation of a bubble are increasingly propitious. As indicated... Read More...

2014 Economic Outlook

2014 Economic Outlook

September 16, 2014 - (0) comments

In this Special Report, I will outline my key US economic ... Read More...

QE To Propel Market Treacherously Higher After Taper Ends

QE To Propel Market Treacherously Higher After Taper Ends

July 11, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary After the taper: Abnormally high supply of accumulated liquidity + normalization of liquidity preference = surging asset prices. Almost by definition,... Read More...

Gold Manipulation: What Investors Should Do Now

Gold Manipulation: What Investors Should Do Now

June 06, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary Barclays was recently fined in connection with a London scandal involving gold price manipulation. Promoters of conspiracy theories involving large-scale gold... Read More...

Bubble Watch: Imagine What Would Happen If Optimism Reigned

Bubble Watch: Imagine What Would Happen If Optimism Reigned

May 09, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary “Expensive” is not a synonym of “bubble.” Key ingredients of a systemically significant stock market bubble are missing. What would happen... Read More...

It’s Bubble Time: A Study Of Peak PE For The S&P 500

It’s Bubble Time: A Study Of Peak PE For The S&P 500

April 11, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary In this article I present one possible methodology for identifying a peak PE during a bull market cycle. Detailed comparative analysis... Read More...

Economic Outlook For Rest Of 2014: Acceleration

Economic Outlook For Rest Of 2014: Acceleration

April 04, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary US households and businesses have accumulated enormous hoards of liquidity. The gradual normalization of risk aversion and liquidity preferences will drive... Read More...

The Nuclear Option: Russia’s Threat To Dump Treasuries

The Nuclear Option: Russia’s Threat To Dump Treasuries

March 14, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary An advisor to President Putin suggested that if the US dares to impose sanctions on Russia for invading Crimea, Russia and... Read More...

This Time It Is Different – Americans Are More Pessimistic

This Time It Is Different – Americans Are More Pessimistic

March 07, 2014 - (0) comments

Summary Despite the recent string of all-time highs, from a market psychology perspective, there is little reason to believe that stocks are... Read More...

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